NFL
Buffalo enters with a 3-1 record and a strong scoring average, powered by 247.3 passing yards per game, 139.0 rushing yards per game, and 6.5 yards per play. The concern is on the other side of the ball and in ball security, since the Bills have a negative turnover margin and have given it away seven times already. Los Angeles is 2-2, but the Rams have been more balanced than their record suggests, averaging 417.0 yards per game and allowing only 4.2 yards per play overall. Their biggest home advantage has been on defense, where they have held opponents to 3.3 yards per play at home and shown a much better ability to control game flow.
Los Angeles has the more stable profile at home, with a strong defensive home split and a cleaner path to winning a close game than Buffalo’s turnover-prone defense suggests. Buffalo’s offense is good enough to keep this competitive, but the Rams’ combination of home-field efficiency, steadier defensive numbers, and better balance gives them the edge. The projected final is Los Angeles Rams 31, Buffalo Bills 27.
