Updated October 21, 2026
Editorial Review By: Peyton PowellCasino & Sports Analyst
Explore weekly NFL expert picks from ATS analysts throughout the season. We combine statistical analysis, team news and matchup research with prediction market pricing to identify value across spreads, game winners, totals and player markets, with clear reasoning behind each selection.
ATS NFL Desk · Updated October 19, 2026
Jay Sanin + Peyton Powell · 2026 regular season
67 settled · 1 pending · 1u risk per pick · Before fees
Jay Sanin: 16–20 · 1 tied settlement · −4.65u · −12.57% ROI
Peyton Powell: 14–16 · −3.66u · −12.21% ROI
Latest published selections. Pending picks are excluded from ROI.
2026-10-19 · Peyton Powell
Christian McCaffrey under 39.5 receiving yards
Published price: 52¢ (−108)
PENDING
October 19 · 8:15 p.m. ET · Entry limit: 55¢
2026-10-18 · Peyton Powell
Dak Prescott 2+ passing touchdowns
Published price: 60¢ (−150)
LOST · −1.00u
Dak Prescott: 1 passing touchdown
2026-10-15 · Peyton Powell
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 7+ receptions
Published price: 56¢ (−127)
WON · +0.79u
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 12 receptions
Record basis: 1u per authored game pick or player prop, starting September 9. ROI = net profit ÷ settled stakes, before fees. Pending picks are excluded. The tied Commanders contract settled at 50¢. Results through October 18. Cents price a $1 contract; American prices are rounded equivalents.
Season | Record (W–L–P) | Net units |
|---|---|---|
2025 | 17–7–0 | +9.30u |
2024 | 16–19–1 | −4.85u |
2023 | 23–15–1 | +6.91u |
Results shown cover the ATS NFL Best Bets series. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Review efficiency, recent form and the strength of opposition.
Assess injuries, practice participation and expected starting lineups.
Examine protection, defensive weaknesses, pace and coaching tendencies.
Account for weather, travel, rest and scheduling.
Compare our projections with available spreads, totals and win prices.
Explain each selection, record its price and grade the result.
Review efficiency, recent form and the strength of opposition.
Assess injuries, practice participation and expected starting lineups.
Examine protection, defensive weaknesses, pace and coaching tendencies.
Account for weather, travel, rest and scheduling.
Compare our projections with available spreads, totals and win prices.
Explain each selection, record its price and grade the result.
No market is automatically the best choice. Value depends on the matchup, the line and the price. Our experts assess spreads, totals and outright winners, selecting the angle best supported by their analysis.
Check both the recommended line and its price. A selection at −3 is different from the same team at −3.5, while a higher entry price reduces the potential return. If the market moves beyond a stated entry limit, the original recommendation no longer applies.
The picks on this page are selected by our NFL analysts. Statistical models and data support their research, while the final recommendation reflects the named writer’s judgment. ATS also publishes model-generated predictions separately.
A unit is a standard measure of stake that allows results to be tracked without using dollar amounts. A record of +9.30 units means a net gain of 9.30 times that base stake. The published staking method determines how each selection contributes to the total.
