Rams vs Raiders Player Prop Predictions: Props For Stafford, Bowers & More
Updated October 23, 2026
Updated October 23, 2026
The Los Angeles Rams visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, October 25, with both teams looking to recover from disappointing results. Los Angeles enters at 2-4 despite ranking third in total offense, while Las Vegas sits at 3-3 following 3 consecutive defeats. Injuries could have a significant influence on this game, particularly with Davante Adams sidelined and Puka Nacua dealing with a calf issue. Matthew Stafford's passing volume, Brock Bowers' involvement in the Raiders' offense, and Kyren Williams' scoring opportunities provide 3 interesting player prop angles in this matchup between teams that are desperate for a win.
*Note: The prices shown above are from Polymarket.us and may change based on trading activity leading up to kickoff.
Elite Passing Production
Stafford has thrown for 1,794 yards through 6 games, averaging 299 yards per appearance while completing 65.9% of his passes. He has exceeded 250 yards in 4 of those 6 outings, including performances of 390 yards against Denver and 383 against Buffalo. Las Vegas enters Sunday allowing 237.3 passing yards per game, ranking 24th in the NFL. At an entry price of 56¢, our estimated 60% probability produces a 4% edge.
Stafford Should Overcome WR Injuries
The biggest concern is Nacua's availability after he suffered a calf injury during Thursday's practice. Early reports suggest the injury is relatively minor, but his status remains uncertain. Stafford's projection assumes Nacua is available without a substantial restriction. Even with fewer established receiving options, Los Angeles may have difficulty abandoning the passing game against a defense allowing 371.7 total yards per contest.
Recommended Position:
Stafford 250+ Pass Yds
Market Price:
56¢
Model Probability:
60%
Market-Implied Probability
56%
Model Edge
4%
Entry Threshold
58¢
Model Confidence
72/100
The Primary Option For Vegas
Bowers has quickly established himself as the Raiders' most productive receiving option, collecting 28 receptions for 382 yards and 3 touchdowns in 4 appearances. He has reached at least 70 receiving yards in every game he has played, including an eight-catch, 110-yard outing against New England and 70 yards against Buffalo last Sunday. At 50¢, our 54% probability suggests an opportunity in the market.
Rams Dealing With DB Injuries
The concern is Los Angeles' passing defense, which has allowed just 167 yards per game, the second-lowest figure in the league. However, those impressive numbers were established before injuries weakened the Rams' defensive front. Kobie Turner and Poona Ford are on injured reserve, while Trent McDuffie's groin injury has kept him out of practice. If the Raiders are forced to throw frequently while trailing, Bowers should remain a central part of Kirk Cousins' passing attack.
Recommended Position:
Bowers 70+ Rec Yds
Market Price:
55¢
Model Probability:
60%
Market-Implied Probability
55%
Model Edge
5%
Entry Threshold
58¢
Model Confidence
80/100
Consistent Touchdown Production
Williams has recorded 5 touchdowns through 6 games, scoring in 4 of those appearances. His rushing production has also been encouraging, with 393 yards on 80 carries and an average of 4.9 yards per attempt. He faces a Raiders defense allowing 134.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 28th in the NFL. That gives Los Angeles an attractive opportunity to establish its ground game. A 60¢ entry would imply a 60% probability, compared with our 63.5% estimate.
More Goal Line Touches
The injuries affecting the Rams' receiving group could increase Williams' importance near the goal line. Adams is unavailable, and Nacua's health creates another question for an offense that has occasionally struggled to turn yardage into touchdowns. Williams remains a reliable rushing option and can contribute as a receiver, giving him multiple opportunities to score.
Recommended Position:
K. Williams 1+ TD
Market Price:
60¢
Model Probability:
63.5%
Market-Implied Probability
60%
Model Edge
3.5%
Entry Threshold
62¢
Model Confidence
65/100
Polymarket prices Los Angeles at 63.5¢ to win, compared with 36.75¢ for Las Vegas, making the Rams the clear favorite despite their 2-4 record. The market also prices Los Angeles winning by more than 3.5 points at 49.5¢, suggesting that a relatively close Rams victory remains a realistic outcome. The full-game total sits at 48.5 points, with the Over priced at 51¢. Those numbers reflect expectations of meaningful offensive production without necessarily requiring either team to dominate.
Stafford's passing-yard recommendation and Williams' touchdown projection fit a scenario in which Los Angeles moves the ball consistently and creates enough scoring opportunities to win. Meanwhile, Bowers should continue to be the center of attention for the Raiders' offense.
