NFL

Denver comes in at 4-2 with a positive turnover margin and a defense that has held opponents to 20.8 points per game, while Arizona sits at 2-4 and has allowed 29.7 points per game. Arizona’s offense is producing 21.0 points per game and 307.3 total yards per game, but the Cardinals are averaging just 4.6 yards per play and their offense has been inefficient in key stretches. Denver’s offense is even lighter, with 19.0 points per game and 4.4 yards per play, which is a major reason the Broncos have leaned toward lower-scoring results. The key clash is Denver’s modest passing attack against an Arizona defense that has been allowing 229.7 passing yards per game, but Denver’s own offensive ceiling has remained limited enough that a big scoring breakout still looks unlikely.
Denver’s better record and stronger defensive profile give them the edge to win, but the game projects to stay lower scoring than the market number because both offenses have been uneven and Denver has repeatedly landed on the under. Arizona can move the ball at times, yet its defense has also been leaky enough to create empty possessions for both sides, while Denver’s offense has not shown enough explosiveness to force a shootout. The projected final score is Denver Broncos 20, Arizona Cardinals 17.