NFL
Miami enters with an 0-5 record, scoring 14.0 points per game while allowing 26.4, and its turnover margin sits at minus four. New York is 2-4, scores 18.7 points per game, and allows 20.3, with a plus-four turnover margin that has helped keep games more manageable. The Jets have been more efficient per play on offense than Miami, and Miami’s defense has been vulnerable enough to create favorable field position for New York, but not enough to suggest a high-scoring script. On the other side, New York’s defense has been notably better at limiting yardage per play than Miami’s, which is a key reason the scoring projection leans lower.
New York should control this game at home, but the better angle is the lower-scoring side rather than a side on the spread. The Jets have a clear edge in efficiency, turnover margin, and defensive stability, while Miami has had trouble producing points and sustaining drives. That points to a Jets win by two scores in a game that finishes below the market expectation. Projected final score: New York Jets 21, Miami Dolphins 15.
