COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Washington enters this matchup with the better overall team efficiency numbers, led by a stronger offense and a much tougher defense. That profile is important against a Colgate team that can score, but has to work harder to get stops against stronger opponents. The Huskies’ edge in net efficiency suggests they can control the game’s pace and shot quality, especially on their own floor. Colgate’s path is narrower: the Raiders need to make enough perimeter shots to stay attached and avoid long scoring droughts. Washington’s defensive numbers suggest the Huskies are more likely to force those empty possessions than Colgate is to do the same on the other end. In a matchup like this, that usually favors the team with the better balance, which is Washington.
Washington should control this game with its stronger efficiency on both ends and project to win by a comfortable margin. The Huskies are the better team statistically and have the home edge, while Colgate needs an above-average shooting night to keep the game close. The projected final score is Washington 83, Colgate 71, with Washington covering the spread in a game that lands near 154 total points.