Boise State Broncos vs Washington State Cougars Prediction - October 24, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Boise State Broncos -13.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 56.0%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 51.22%
• ●Model Edge: 4.78%
• ●Entry Threshold: -111
• ●Model Confidence: 78/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Boise State Broncos 34, Washington State Cougars 18
• ●Projected Total: 52.0

Why This Position Stands Out

Boise State has the cleaner offensive profile and the better defensive ceiling in this matchup. The Broncos are averaging 35.0 points and 450.5 yards per game, while Washington State is at 20.1 points and 307.6 yards per game. Boise State also runs the ball with real power, posting 234.5 rushing yards per game, which gives it a path to control tempo and keep Washington State’s offense off the field. On the other side, Washington State’s defense has allowed 27.1 points and 383.9 yards per game, numbers that are hard to trust against a team with Boise State’s balance and scoring form. The market has settled around Boise State as a comfortable favorite, but the spread price still looks slightly soft relative to the Broncos’ statistical edge. Boise State enters with a 5-1 record and a five-game winning streak, while Washington State is 1-6 and has dropped four straight. That gap is reinforced by efficiency data: Boise State’s offense is producing 6.2 yards per play, while Washington State’s offense is at 4.0. That kind of gap usually supports a stronger Boise State margin than the current market expectation, especially against a Cougars team that has struggled to generate consistent stops.