COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Georgia State enters with the stronger efficiency numbers and the better recent market profile, while Coastal Carolina has been more volatile on both sides of the ball. The Panthers average 6.3 yards per play and have allowed only 5.7 yards per play to opponents, while the Chanticleers sit at 5.5 yards per play and have allowed 6.4. Coastal Carolina’s defense has also given up 25.9 points per game and 198.7 rushing yards per game, which is a concern against a Georgia State team that can create separation if it wins early downs. Coastal’s recent betting profile is weaker too, with a sub-.500 ATS mark, while Georgia State has consistently beaten the number.
Georgia State is the stronger side by the efficiency numbers and the current market profile, so the lean is for the Panthers to win and cover in a game that should feature enough scoring to keep the total in play. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed too much yardage and too many points per game to feel safe against a home favorite with the better yards per play margin. Final score projection: Georgia State Panthers 34, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 27.