COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Colorado enters on a four-game losing streak at 2-4 overall, scoring 19.5 points per game while allowing 25.7. Its offense has produced 253.8 passing yards per game and 140.3 rushing yards per game, but the defensive side has given up 226.8 passing yards and 130.3 rushing yards per game. Oklahoma State is 4-2 and averages 37.2 points per game with 517.7 total yards per game, led by 329.5 passing yards and 188.2 rushing yards per game. The Cowboys allow 23.7 points per game and 358.2 total yards per game, but their home defense has been better by yards per play, which is the key reason Colorado's scoring ceiling looks limited.
Oklahoma State is the better side overall, but the clearest value is on Colorado's team total under because the Buffaloes have not been a reliable scoring group and now face a Cowboys defense that has been tougher at home. Colorado's season averages and road efficiency suggest a number in the high teens to low 20s is more realistic than an explosive output. A projected 31-20 Oklahoma State win keeps the game on the lower side of the total and supports Colorado finishing below its team scoring mark.