COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Georgia enters with a dominant defensive resume, allowing just 15.4 points and 275.3 yards per game, while also holding opponents to 4.5 yards per play. Florida’s defense has been more vulnerable, surrendering 28.3 points and 376.6 yards per game, with opponents averaging 5.7 yards per play. Georgia’s 7.0 yards per play and 27.1 average margin of victory underline the gap between the teams, while Florida’s 4-3 ATS record and 3-4 over record-type profile suggest a less explosive profile than Georgia’s 5-2 ATS and 6-1 over profile.
Georgia should control this game from the start and has the better path to a comfortable win behind the sharper efficiency and stronger defense. Florida’s defense has given up too much production to trust it against a Georgia offense that has been operating at a much higher level, and Georgia’s own defense should keep Florida from keeping pace. The projected final is Georgia Bulldogs 38, Florida Gators 17, which supports Georgia to win and a Georgia team total above the recommended level.