COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Florida State enters with the stronger offensive profile, averaging 414.4 yards and 30.63 points per game, driven by 248.6 passing yards per game and 6.45 yards per play. Boston College has been less explosive overall at 355.4 yards and 21.63 points per game, but it has leaned on a balanced attack with 168.1 rushing yards per game. Defensively, both teams have had issues: Boston College allows 339.38 yards per game and Florida State allows 424.38, with the Seminoles especially vulnerable through the air at 247.88 passing yards allowed per game. That mix suggests Florida State should control more of the game, but Boston College can still do enough offensively to keep the scoring near the market range rather than well above it.
Florida State has the better offense and should have the edge overall, but Boston College’s under-heavy profile and both defenses’ ability to create stop-start possessions point to a game that lands just below the posted total. The projected final score is Florida State Seminoles 27, Boston College Eagles 24, which supports an under position and a narrow Florida State win.