COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Wake Forest enters with strong offensive production and a defense that has been far better than the average team on the schedule. The Demon Deacons are gaining 457.4 yards per game, 6.92 yards per play, and 282.6 passing yards per game, while also allowing only 17.88 points per game. Their 75.0% cover rate and 4-4 over record show a team that has often been priced aggressively by the market, but still has enough defensive consistency to suppress opponents. Merrimack’s season stat profile was not provided in the supplied data, so the clearest available handicap is Wake Forest’s ability to dictate pace and field position.
Wake Forest should control this game from start to finish, but the best value from the available numbers is on the total staying below the market expectation. The Demon Deacons have strong offensive output, yet their defense has also limited opponents well enough to make a lower-scoring script reasonable if they open an early lead and manage the fourth quarter. A projected final score of Wake Forest 41, Merrimack 14 fits that view and supports an under result.