Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction - November 7, 2026

Matchup Overview

Michigan enters with a clear defensive edge, giving up just 16.38 points per game and 250.0 yards per game, while Michigan State has allowed 25.75 points and 355.12 yards per game. Offensively, Michigan is averaging 21.25 points and 316.4 yards per game, compared with 19.88 points and 291.4 yards for Michigan State. The Wolverines also allow only 4.3 yards per play, a strong sign that they can keep this rivalry game in a lower-scoring range even if their own offense is not fully explosive. Michigan State’s best chance is to improve its rushing output, but its season-long numbers suggest difficulty sustaining efficient drives against a defense that has been much tougher than the Spartans have faced most weeks.

Market Trends

• ●Michigan State is 4-3-1 against the spread and has a 2-6-0 over record, with 75.0% of its games finishing under.
• ●Michigan is 3-5-0 against the spread and has a 2-6-0 over record, with 75.0% of its games finishing under.

Prediction Summary

Michigan should control this rivalry game with its defense and field position edge, leading to a lower-scoring final than the market is asking for. Michigan State’s offense has been limited all season, and Michigan has allowed only 16.38 points per game with 4.3 yards allowed per play. With both teams showing strong under tendencies and neither offense profiling as especially efficient, the best read is Michigan winning by two scores in a game that stays below the posted total. Projected final score: Michigan Wolverines 24, Michigan State Spartans 13.