COLLEGE FOOTBALL

San Jose State enters with the more stable recent profile, led by a passing attack producing 227.9 yards per game and a defense that has held opponents to 375.67 yards per game and 5.31 yards per play allowed. Northern Illinois has struggled to stop opponents and has allowed 218.75 rushing yards per game, a major concern against a San Jose State offense that can stay on schedule on the ground and through the air. NIU’s offense has been inconsistent at 16.25 points per game, so the Huskies likely need a much cleaner passing day than they have produced so far to keep this game close.
San Jose State is the stronger side on paper and should control the game through steadier offense and a much better defensive baseline. Northern Illinois has been too easy to move the ball against, and its offense has not shown enough week-to-week scoring consistency to keep pace if the Spartans play to form. The projected result is San Jose State 34, Northern Illinois 20, with the home team covering and the game landing in the mid-50s.