Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction - November 7, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Kansas State Wildcats +5.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 56.5%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 52.4%
• ●Model Edge: 4.1%
• ●Entry Threshold: +5.5 or better
• ●Model Confidence: 71/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Oklahoma State Cowboys 33, Kansas State Wildcats 29
• ●Projected Total: 62.0

Why This Position Stands Out

Kansas State has a clear path to staying within the number because its run game can shorten the game and keep Oklahoma State from turning this into a track meet. The Wildcats are producing 31.75 points per game with 426.6 yards per game, while Oklahoma State is allowing 27.12 points per game and 391.12 yards per game, which points to a competitive game rather than a one-sided result. Kansas State also defends the pass well enough to make Oklahoma State work for explosive plays, and that matters against a Cowboys offense that leans heavily on air production.

Matchup Overview

Oklahoma State enters with the more explosive offense, averaging 41.13 points and 529.6 yards per game, led by 338.8 passing yards per game. Kansas State is more balanced, generating 205.5 rushing yards per game and 221.1 passing yards per game, which gives it multiple ways to respond if the Cowboys score quickly. Defensively, Kansas State has allowed 21.88 points per game and 318.0 yards per game, while Oklahoma State has allowed 27.12 points and 391.12 yards per game, suggesting the Wildcats have enough defensive stability to keep this within reach late.