COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Navy enters with a run-heavy offense that generates 295.8 rushing yards per game, and that ground game has helped it stay above 27 points per contest. Temple brings a more balanced profile, with 176.6 passing yards per game and 192.0 rushing yards per game, but its defense has been a little looser overall, allowing 398.0 yards per game and 26.62 points per game. Navy’s defense has had a harder time, too, especially against the pass, which gives Temple a path to add points. The combination points to a game where both teams can move the ball enough to lift the total.
Navy should have the better overall offensive fit at home, but Temple has enough balance to contribute to a higher-scoring game than the market is fully pricing in. Navy’s rushing edge, Temple’s ability to move the ball through the air, and both defenses allowing yardage at elevated rates all support a solid scoring environment. The projection is Navy Midshipmen 31, Temple Owls 27, with the game finishing above the posted total.