Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Prediction - November 7, 2026

Matchup Overview

Texas enters with the cleaner defensive profile, allowing 273.12 yards per game and just 4.03 yards per play, while Missouri has allowed 325.12 yards and 4.82 per play. Offensively, Missouri has been the more productive team in total yardage at 424.6 per game and 6.21 yards per play, compared with Texas at 359.1 and 5.48. Missouri also throws for 257.1 yards per game and runs for 167.5, while Texas averages 223.8 passing and 135.4 rushing. On the other side, Texas has allowed only 17.12 points per game, slightly better than Missouri’s 18.38, which supports a close game with fewer scoring chances than a typical ranked matchup.

Market Trends

• ●Missouri Tigers are 4-4-0 against the spread and 3-5-0 to the over this season.
• ●Texas Longhorns are 3-5-0 against the spread and 3-5-0 to the over this season.

Prediction Summary

Texas has the edge in overall defensive efficiency and a slight advantage in scoring prevention, while Missouri brings the stronger yardage profile on offense. That combination points to a tight contest with fewer clean scoring chances than the market may anticipate. The projection calls for Texas to win 24-17 in a game that stays under the total, with Texas’ defense doing just enough to slow Missouri’s offense and prevent the game from turning into a track meet.