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Texas Tech arrives unbeaten with a six-game winning run and has paired that start with a high-scoring offense and a defense that has held opponents to 17.7 points per game. Cincinnati has won four of six, but it is coming off two straight losses and has been less consistent defensively, giving up 26.8 points and 294.0 passing yards per game. Offensively, Cincinnati has posted 35.2 points per game with a balanced attack, while Texas Tech has been even more explosive at 37.8 points per game. Both teams rank among the better scoring groups in the slate, which is the main reason this game projects as a pace-friendly meeting with scoring chances on both ends.
Texas Tech’s unbeaten start, efficient passing game, and Cincinnati’s recent defensive leakage point to a game with enough scoring to clear the total. Cincinnati can move the ball at home, but Texas Tech has been more reliable on both sides of the ball and should control enough of the game flow to help lift the scoring range. The projection is Texas Tech Red Raiders 38, Cincinnati Bearcats 27, with the over as the best value position.
