COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Tulane enters with the stronger defensive baseline, allowing far fewer points and fewer yards per play than Charlotte. Charlotte’s defense has been a major liability, giving up 465.1 yards per game and 187.1 rushing yards per game, which is a problematic setup against a Tulane team that should be able to control field position and sustain drives. Tulane’s recent defensive numbers are also steadier, with its yards per play allowed sitting at 5.7 compared with Charlotte’s 6.5. Charlotte’s 4.8 yards per play on offense is also modest, so it may struggle to keep pace if Tulane plays to form.
Tulane is the better side in this matchup based on the defensive numbers and the market’s pricing, and the projected result supports a road favorite covering. Charlotte has been exposed defensively all season, especially against the run and in overall yardage, while Tulane has been far more stable on that end. The projected final score is Tulane Green Wave 34, Charlotte 49ers 20, which supports a Tulane win and a comfortable cover while landing above the game total.