COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Wake Forest enters with stronger recent efficiency numbers, producing 6.7 yards per play and ranking among the better teams in that category, while also allowing only 4.4 yards per play to opponents. Virginia has been much less efficient on offense at 4.8 yards per play and has allowed 5.3 yards per play on defense, a mix that puts extra pressure on its passing game and drives. On the results side, Wake Forest has been a strong cover team and has generally kept games in control, while Virginia has been more volatile against the spread and has leaned under more often than over, reflecting a team that has struggled to match higher-end offenses for four quarters.
Wake Forest should control this game with the better efficiency profile and the steadier defensive numbers. Virginia’s offense has not been consistent enough to keep this tight for four quarters, and the Cavaliers’ defensive numbers point to a difficult night trying to slow a more efficient home attack. The projected result is Wake Forest 34, Virginia 20, which supports Wake Forest laying the points and points to a comfortable home win.