COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Nebraska enters with stronger recent results in both straight-up and against-the-spread performance, while Washington has been less reliable against the number but still owns enough offensive efficiency to make this a tricky road assignment. Nebraska’s defense has been far better overall, allowing 15.4 points and 271.3 yards per game, while Washington has allowed 22.7 points and 336.1 yards per game. The offensive efficiency split is more competitive than the defensive split, with Washington posting 6.4 yards per play away from home compared with Nebraska’s 6.2 yards per play at home, which helps explain why the Huskies can remain live even against a higher-rated opponent.
Nebraska should have the better chance to win, but Washington has enough road efficiency to keep the game tighter than the market suggests. Nebraska’s defense gives it the edge, yet Washington’s ability to generate yards away from home makes a backdoor cover very live if the Huskers try to protect a lead late. The projected final score is Nebraska Cornhuskers 28, Washington Huskies 24, which supports Washington plus the points and a game that lands in the low-50s overall.