COLLEGE FOOTBALL
San Diego State enters with a 2-6 ATS mark and a 6-2 over record, while Washington State is 5-3 ATS and 3-5 to the under. From an efficiency view, the Aztecs are allowing 36.1 points per game and 6.0 yards per play, while Washington State is allowing 27.6 points per game and 6.1 yards per play. On offense, San Diego State has been the more productive team by scoring profile, while Washington State’s 3.9 yards per play is a concern because it can make sustained drives hard to build. That contrast points to a game where Washington State may keep it close, but San Diego State has the cleaner route to enough offense to finish on top at home.
San Diego State is the side with the best value in this matchup, with the home team’s moneyline price still leaving a small edge against a Washington State offense that has struggled to create efficient production. The Cougars’ 3.9 yards per play and their 3-5 under record suggest a team that can get bogged down offensively, while San Diego State’s home-field edge should be enough to tilt a close game. My projection is a 24-20 San Diego State win, which fits a low-scoring, one-score outcome and supports the Aztecs on the moneyline.
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