Prediction
- ●- Recommended Position: Seahawks spread
- ●- Model Win Probability: 55%
- ●- Market Implied Probability: 51.22%
- ●- Model Edge: 3.78%
- ●- Entry Threshold: -122
- ●- Model Confidence: 68/100
Model Projection
- ●Projected Score: Seattle Seahawks 27, Arizona Cardinals 16
- ●Projected Total: 43.0
Why This Position Stands Out
Seattle has the cleaner defensive profile in this game and the numbers line up with that view. Through eight games, the Seahawks have allowed 19.88 points per game, 250.0 yards per game, and only 4.17 yards per play, all well better than Arizona’s defense. That matters because Arizona’s offense has been only average in scoring and yardage, while the Cardinals have also allowed 29.75 points per game and 5.73 yards per play on defense, leaving them exposed if Seattle plays to its season-long efficiency.
Matchup Overview
Seattle enters with the stronger two-way profile: a modestly better scoring offense, a much better defense, and a far cleaner yardage profile. Arizona’s offense has been workable but not explosive, and its defensive results have lagged badly, especially against points allowed and yards per play allowed. Seattle’s recent statistical shape suggests more control of the game flow, while Arizona’s turnover margin and defensive leakage make it harder to trust the Cardinals to keep pace for four quarters.
