NHL
Calgary enters with a more balanced statistical footprint. The Flames are scoring less than Anaheim overall, but they are also giving up fewer chances and have been far better on the penalty kill. Anaheim’s attack has been more productive, yet the Ducks have also allowed more goals and more shot volume against, which leaves them more exposed if Calgary can control pace and puck possession at home. From an availability standpoint, Calgary is dealing with absences for Jonathan Huberdeau, Sam Honzek, Brennan Othmann, and Devin Cooley, while Anaheim is without A.J. Greer, Ian Moore, Ryan Poehling, and Troy Terry. Those missing pieces matter most for depth and lineup flexibility. Calgary’s expected goaltending edge is also important: Dustin Wolf has been the steadier option than Anaheim’s Lukas Dostal has been on a season-long basis, and that supports the home side in a tighter game.
Calgary is the preferred side at home, with a projected 4-2 win over Anaheim. The Flames have the better defensive profile, a stronger penalty kill, and a more stable goaltending setup, while the Ducks bring respectable scoring but have been easier to score on and a bit less consistent overall. With both teams carrying notable injuries, Calgary’s cleaner structure and home-ice edge create the more reliable path to victory.
Dustin Wolf is the expected starter for Calgary, while Lukas Dostal is the expected starter for Anaheim. Wolf has posted a .870 save percentage and a 3.71 goals-against average across 9 starts, while Dostal sits at a .872 save percentage and a 3.56 goals-against average in 9 starts. Both have been busy, but Calgary’s team structure gives Wolf a slightly cleaner setting, and the Flames’ defensive numbers make him the more trustworthy side of the matchup at home.
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