St Louis Blues vs New Jersey Devils Prediction - November 5, 2026

Prediction

• ●- Recommended Position: Over 5.5
• ●- Model Probability: 58%
• ●- Market Probability: 54%
• ●- Model Edge: 4%
• ●- Entry Threshold: -150
• ●- Model Confidence Based on Model Edge: 70
• ●- Why the Market Is Wrong: New Jersey has been producing at a higher clip at home and enters with better recent form, while St. Louis has been more volatile at five-on-five and has allowed more shots against. The market is still pricing this as a modest-scoring game, but the Devils' attack has enough depth to push the pace, and the Blues have shown enough scoring ability on the road to keep this game in range for a higher total.

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: New Jersey Devils 4, St Louis Blues 2
• ●Projected Total: 6

Why This Position Stands Out

New Jersey enters with stronger season form, a better goal differential, and a more productive offense than St. Louis. The Devils are scoring 3.40 goals per game and have won 10 of 15, while the Blues are at 3.00 goals per game and have been more ordinary overall. New Jersey also owns the stronger home profile, and its recent run has included wins over quality opponents while generating consistent offense at Prudential Center. St. Louis can still threaten because its top scoring pieces have been active, but the team’s defensive profile is less stable. The Blues are giving up more shots per game than New Jersey, and that leaves them exposed if the Devils control puck possession and create layered chances off the rush and in zone time. With both clubs capable of getting to three goals, the total has a good chance to land above the current market expectation.