Jay Sanin on July 7, 2024
Graham Ashcraft projections, stats and prop bet odds for Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds on Jul 7, 2024
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
Graham Ashcraft has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
Graham Ashcraft is an extreme groundball pitcher (49% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #2 HR venue in the league — in this game.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Graham Ashcraft will hold that advantage in today's game.
Graham Ashcraft’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2478 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2417 rpm).
Considering the 1.2 deviation between Graham Ashcraft's 5.45 ERA and his 4.25 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should positively regress going forward.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) calling pitches today.
The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.
The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Graham Ashcraft is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
Graham Ashcraft has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Graham Ashcraft will hold that advantage in today's game.
Graham Ashcraft’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2478 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2417 rpm).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Graham Ashcraft in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) calling pitches today.
The #10 venue in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Graham Ashcraft has utilized his cut-fastball 5.6% less often this season (47.4%) than he did last year (53%).
Graham Ashcraft is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) calling pitches today.
The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.
The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Graham Ashcraft is an extreme groundball pitcher (49% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Great American Ball Park — the #2 HR venue in the league — in this game.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Graham Ashcraft will hold that advantage in today's game.
Graham Ashcraft’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2478 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2417 rpm).
Considering the 1.2 deviation between Graham Ashcraft's 5.45 ERA and his 4.25 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should positively regress going forward.
Positioned 5th-least steep in Major League Baseball this year, Detroit Tigers bats collectively have notched a 11.4° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable standard to evaluate power ability).
Graham Ashcraft is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.
