Jonathan Taylor Trade Rumors: Where Will JT Land Next?
Updated November 4, 2026
Updated November 4, 2026
The Indianapolis Colts humiliated themselves on Sunday. Barely putting up a fight, they were annihilated 42-7 by the division rival Jaguars as Trevor Lawrence (210 yds, 3 TDs) and Bayshul Tuten (159 total yds, 2 TDs) put their DeForest Buckner-less defense to the sword.
With the Colts season spiralling and Buckner and three-time All Pro Left Guard Quenton Nelson already traded in the last week, the attention now turns to star running back Jonathan Taylor. Long considered out of reach to potential suitors, reports are now suggesting that the cornerstone of the Colts franchise could now be traded.
So where could Taylor end up? Who can afford to pay his contract? With $15 million due in 2027 and most contenders tight against the cap, the list gets short fast, and Kalshi traders have already picked their favorites.
Prices from Kalshi as of 8:20 a.m. ET, Monday, Nov 2. American odds are converted from the Yes price before fees. Every other outcome, including Taylor staying in Indianapolis, sits at 12% or lower.
Team | Kalshi chance | Yes price | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
31% | 31¢ | +223 | |
19% | 19¢ | +426 | |
17% | 17¢ | +488 | |
15% | 15¢ | +567 |
The Giants are the favorite, and they're acting like it. John Harbaugh has said he'd love a bell cow, his 4-2-1 team leads a soft NFC East, and Rapoport has them among the most aggressive teams in the race. Tuesday's Greg Newsome extension looks like the cap move that makes room, with New York starting the day at just $6.5 million in space.
The risk is the price tag. Jordan Schultz reported the Giants balked at the Colts' asking price, and the Daily News' Pat Leonard says they might have done a deal long ago with more draft capital. Leonard also reports they're weighing a pivot to defensive line help instead. Cam Skattebo is the incumbent, and the CBS Sports mock deal had him heading to Indy. The Giants visit Philadelphia on Sunday.
Denver led this market on Monday morning, slipped behind the Giants, and still sits second. The Broncos are 6-2 after Sunday's 28-24 comeback over the Chiefs, and DNVR's Zac Stevens called Taylor their "1A plan." But Sean Payton wouldn't discuss Taylor by name this week, RJ Harvey is on injured reserve, and Jonah Coleman's breakout gives them an in-house answer alongside J.K. Dobbins.
The money hasn't changed either. The Broncos had $4.6 million in cap space a week ago, so a deal almost certainly sends salary back to Indianapolis. Dobbins was the name in CBS Sports' mock deal.
The Vikings led this market on Sunday morning, then lost 19-15 in Detroit. That game showed why they've been tied to Taylor all month: Minnesota ran for 81 yards while the Lions ran for 230 and wore down a defense that came in allowing a league-low 12.3 points per game. Aaron Jones is 32 with a nagging knee, Jordan Mason is only just back from a broken thumb, and Kyler Murray owns the team's longest run of the season at 35 yards.
First-year GM Nolan Teasley, who came over from Seattle's front office, has asked around about running backs, per SI's Albert Breer, and Jordan Schultz said Monday that Minnesota is among a handful of teams making bold offers. Cap space is the question mark, and Kevin O'Connell insists he's fine on depth. Taylor ran for 95 yards and a touchdown against them in Week 7, so they know what they'd be getting. Buffalo visits on Monday, Nov 9, the night before the deadline.
The Packers were named by ESPN, the Bengals by Jordan Schultz, and the Patriots called the Colts according to Heavy. Green Bay is the only one moving on Kalshi, up to 6%. Cincinnati is the interesting one. Chase Brown has his own next-team market on Kalshi, which hints at a swap if the Bengals get serious.
The Colts have already turned down a 2027 second-round pick plus another selection, according to Tom Pelissero. Their model is the 2022 Christian McCaffrey trade, when San Francisco sent Carolina a second, third and fourth in 2023 plus a 2024 fifth.
That's a big ask for a running back, but Taylor isn't a rental. He signed a two-year, $44 million extension in August ($39 million guaranteed) that runs through 2028, with $15 million due in 2027 and $9.46 million in 2028. His $15 million signing bonus stays on Indy's books.
The résumé holds up too. He's 27, a 2021 first-team All-Pro and a three-time Pro Bowler who led the league in rushing touchdowns in 2021 and 2025. He's second in Colts history in rushing yards (8,185) behind Edgerrin James and first in rushing scores (77).
Even after Sunday's dud, he has 610 rushing yards and a league-leading eight rushing touchdowns through eight games.
On the other side, the Colts get nothing from losing. Their 2027 first-round pick belongs to the Jets from last year's Sauce Gardner trade, so trading veterans is the fastest way to restock. That's the strongest argument against the Colts holding him.
The Giants are the most likely landing spot right now, and 31% is a fair number given Harbaugh's appetite and the Newsome cap move. They've already come off a spike into the mid-40s, but at 31 cents you're still paying for a deal with a draft-capital problem attached.
I'm more interested in the Vikings at 15 cents (+567). Jordan Schultz has Minnesota among the teams making bold offers, the need is obvious after 81 rushing yards in Detroit, and their price has slid without any bad news to explain it. They're a contender with a clear hole and a GM who's been working the phones.
If you think the Colts hold firm, the "stays in Indy" outcome sits at 16 cents (+525) and has been climbing. Kinkhabwala was told the Colts aren't soliciting offers, and the Giants' draft-capital issue hasn't gone away. Either way, it's a value position, not a prediction that Minnesota is the favorite.
Prices move fast on this market. Check Kalshi for the live number before you trade.
