Mike McDermott on October 13, 2024
Antonio Gibson MLB projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at New England Patriots on Oct 13, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 127.5 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Antonio Gibson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.
The projections expect Antonio Gibson to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense in this game (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.2% in games he has played).
Antonio Gibson's 88.9% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a meaningful gain in his receiving talent over last year's 84.6% figure.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 50.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
Antonio Gibson's receiving performance has declined this year, averaging a mere 1.6 adjusted receptions compared to 3.0 last year.
Antonio Gibson is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 127.5 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Antonio Gibson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.
The projections expect Antonio Gibson to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense in this game (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.2% in games he has played).
Antonio Gibson has accrued a whopping 0.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 50.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
Antonio Gibson has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).
This year, the formidable Texans defense has allowed a paltry 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the fewest in football.
Antonio Gibson is projected to have 22.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 127.5 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Antonio Gibson to accumulate 17.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The predictive model expects Antonio Gibson to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this game (53.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
Antonio Gibson is projected to have 15.8 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 127.5 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Antonio Gibson to accumulate 17.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The predictive model expects Antonio Gibson to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this game (53.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).
Antonio Gibson has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
Antonio Gibson is projected to have 64.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
