Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Baker Mayfield projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Jan 12, 2025
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In throwing a staggering 34.0 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Baker Mayfield's 275.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a significant growth in his throwing prowess over last year's 231.0 figure.
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 194.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Commanders defense this year.
This year, the fierce Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 4.8 YAC.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 236 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In throwing a staggering 34.0 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Baker Mayfield's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.6% to 71.1%.
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Commanders defense has yielded a measly 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 1.9 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In throwing a staggering 34.0 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 31.1 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In throwing a staggering 34.0 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Baker Mayfield has totaled 0.99 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In throwing a staggering 34.0 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Baker Mayfield's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.6% to 71.1%.
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Commanders defense has yielded a measly 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 20.7 Completions in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
Baker Mayfield's 20.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable growth in his rushing prowess over last season's 10.0 figure.
Baker Mayfield's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 6.56 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.16 rate last year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
At the present time, the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (38.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 18 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
The Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
The Commanders defensive ends rank as the 4th-worst collection of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
At the present time, the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (38.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 3.6 Carries in this weeks game.
