Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Brock Purdy projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins on Dec 22, 2024
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 29.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
Miami's defense profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, notching just 0.54 per game.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 0.6 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the NFL versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
Brock Purdy's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 69.6% mark.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 218.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 239.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the NFL versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
Brock Purdy's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 69.6% mark.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 20.2 Completions in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the NFL versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
Brock Purdy's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 69.6% mark.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The model projects Brock Purdy to accumulate 4.1 carries this week, on average: the 10th-most among all QBs.
Brock Purdy has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this year (14.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (6.9%).
Brock Purdy has rushed for a lot more yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 60.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The 49ers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Dolphins run defense has yielded a puny 104.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 9th-best in the NFL.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Miami's DE corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.
Brock Purdy is projected to have 22.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
