Jay Sanin on November 7, 2024
Daniel Jones projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Carolina Panthers on Nov 10, 2024
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 19.5 Completions in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
With a 57.6% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league under these circumstances has been the New York Giants.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.00 per game this year.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 23.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 7.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Daniel Jones's 213.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable improvement in his throwing talent over last season's 154.0 figure.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.79 yards.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
With a subpar 6.31 adjusted yards-per-target (22nd percentile) this year, Daniel Jones has been as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 182.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The Carolina Panthers have intercepted 0.32 passes per game this year, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in football by this stat
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Daniel Jones is projected to have 28.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (176 per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.
Daniel Jones's 25.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his running talent over last year's 32.0 mark.
Daniel Jones's ground effectiveness (4.27 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (8th percentile when it comes to QBs).
Daniel Jones is projected to have 34.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
