Jay Sanin on November 21, 2024
Darnell Washington projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns on Nov 21, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 136.8 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
The projections expect Darnell Washington to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack in this game (12.1% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).
The Browns linebackers project as the 5th-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.2% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
The Browns pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (65.8%) versus tight ends this year (65.8%).
Darnell Washington is projected to have 2.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 136.8 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
The projections expect Darnell Washington to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack in this game (12.1% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).
After accumulating 1.0 air yards per game last year, Darnell Washington has seen marked improvement this year, now sitting at 11.0 per game.
Darnell Washington has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (8.0).
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.2% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
The Browns pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (65.8%) versus tight ends this year (65.8%).
The Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, surrendering 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Darnell Washington is projected to have 23.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
