Jay Sanin on December 5, 2024
Dawson Knox projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams on Dec 8, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dawson Knox has played on 60.1% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Dawson Knox's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.8% to 69.9%.
The Bills are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Bills as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
Dawson Knox is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
