Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Dorian Thompson-Robinson projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals on Dec 22, 2024
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The Browns will be forced to start backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Browns as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (61.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Browns.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Browns will be forced to start backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Browns as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have 139.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to have 1.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Browns will be forced to start backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Browns as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have 139.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to have 209.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have 139.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (130 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Browns will be forced to start backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to have 19.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
