Jay Sanin on December 5, 2024
Drew Lock projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at New York Giants on Dec 8, 2024
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Drew Lock to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Giants ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Drew Lock's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 63.9% to 57.5%.
This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has yielded a measly 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.
Drew Lock is projected to have 18.3 Completions in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Drew Lock to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Giants ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Drew Lock's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 63.9% to 57.5%.
This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has yielded a measly 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.
Drew Lock is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Drew Lock to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Giants ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
The Saints have intercepted 1.04 throws per game this year, grading out as the 4th-best defense in the league by this statistic.
Drew Lock is projected to have 1 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Drew Lock to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
Drew Lock is projected to have 30.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 45.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Drew Lock is forecasted by the projection model to notch the 8th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 4.0.
The leading projections forecast Drew Lock to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (13.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.0% in games he has played).
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Drew Lock is projected to have 4 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 45.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Drew Lock is forecasted by the projection model to notch the 8th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 4.0.
The New Orleans Saints defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.26 adjusted yards-per-carry.
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Drew Lock is projected to have 19.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup QB Drew Lock.
The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Drew Lock to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Giants ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Drew Lock's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 63.9% to 57.5%.
Drew Lock's 4.42 adjusted yards-per-target this year marks a noteable decline in his throwing efficiency over last year's 7.1% mark.
Drew Lock is projected to have 186.7 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
