Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Evan Engram projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars on Dec 15, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Jacksonville Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.87 seconds per play.
In this week's contest, Evan Engram is forecasted by the model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.9 targets.
With an elite 25.0% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Evan Engram stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.
Evan Engram has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).
Evan Engram's 75.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.3% figure.
Evan Engram's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a mere 5.84 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.99 rate last year.
Evan Engram is projected to have 43.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Jacksonville Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.87 seconds per play.
In this week's contest, Evan Engram is forecasted by the model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.9 targets.
With an elite 25.0% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Evan Engram stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.
Evan Engram's 5.2 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a noteable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 6.7 figure.
Evan Engram's 75.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.3% figure.
When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, New York's DT corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.
Evan Engram is projected to have 5.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
