Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Jake Haener projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints on Dec 15, 2024
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At the moment, the 3rd-most run-centric offense in the NFL (44.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders defensive tackles project as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jake Haener is projected to have 13.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Washington's defense grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating just 0.29 per game.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.
Jake Haener is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.
Jake Haener is projected to have 31.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Washington cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.
Jake Haener is projected to have 19.9 Completions in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 10th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.62 per game this year.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.
Jake Haener is projected to have 0.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
At the moment, the 3rd-most run-centric offense in the NFL (44.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The Washington Commanders defensive tackles project as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jake Haener is projected to have 2.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Washington cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.
This year, the daunting Commanders defense has conceded a meager 212.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-fewest in the league.
The Commanders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
Jake Haener is projected to have 203.3 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
