Jay Sanin on January 26, 2025
Josh Allen projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 26, 2025
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to accumulate the 2nd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 7.8.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Josh Allen is projected to have 7.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Josh Allen is projected to have 31.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Josh Allen has logged a lowly 0.31 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 85th percentile among QBs.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Josh Allen is projected to have 0.6 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.
Josh Allen has picked up 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (88th percentile).
With a fantastic total of 2.13 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Josh Allen stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in football this year.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to accumulate the 2nd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 7.8.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Josh Allen is projected to have 43 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Josh Allen grades out as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 7.78 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 79th percentile.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Josh Allen has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (209.0) this year than he did last year (261.0).
This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 204.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a feeble 7.5 yards.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Josh Allen is projected to have 217.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Josh Allen is projected to have 19.8 Completions in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
With a terrific ratio of 1.67 per game (85th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the leading TD passers in the NFL this year.
Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (48.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bills.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has yielded a paltry 1.33 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-best rate in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Josh Allen is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
