Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Josh Jacobs projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles on Jan 12, 2025
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.7 carries.
While Josh Jacobs has garnered 66.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's rushing attack in this game at 77.9%.
Josh Jacobs's 80.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive boost in his rushing proficiency over last year's 63.0 mark.
The Packers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.7 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles run defense has surrendered a meager 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-best in football.
The Eagles linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 95.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Packers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Josh Jacobs is projected by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.
Josh Jacobs has been one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an excellent 19.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.
The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.7 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.1 per game) this year.
Josh Jacobs has put up a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 20.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Packers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Josh Jacobs is projected by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.
Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 69.0% to 88.3%.
The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.
The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.7 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.1 per game) this year.
Josh Jacobs's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (41.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.7 carries.
While Josh Jacobs has garnered 66.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's rushing attack in this game at 77.9%.
The Packers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.7 plays per game.
The Eagles linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 19.5 Carries in this weeks game.
