Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Mac Jones projections and prop bets for Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders on Dec 22, 2024
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Mac Jones to throw 36.4 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all QBs.
The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
Mac Jones has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (152.0) this season than he did last season (203.0).
Mac Jones is projected to have 251.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Mac Jones to throw 36.4 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all QBs.
The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
With a very bad rate of only 0.57 per game (11th percentile), Mac Jones ranks as one of the worst touchdown throwers in football this year.
Mac Jones is projected to have 1.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per play.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mac Jones has averaged a measly 7.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among QBs (24th percentile).
Mac Jones's 2.95 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a material decline in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.94 mark.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
Mac Jones is projected to have 12.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Mac Jones to throw 36.4 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all QBs.
In throwing a monstrous 1.00 interceptions per game this year, Mac Jones rates among the weakest QBs in the NFL (13th percentile).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.
Mac Jones is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
