Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Russell Wilson projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens on Jan 11, 2025
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
This year, the shaky Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a whopping 252.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the worst in the NFL.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.4.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 201.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.4.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 31.1 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.4.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in football versus the Ravens defense this year (69.5% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 18.5 Completions in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The model projects the Steelers to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 42.6% run rate.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
This week, Russell Wilson is predicted by the predictive model to accumulate the 5th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.9.
Russell Wilson has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this season (9.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (17.3%).
The Baltimore defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 2.8 Carries in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.4.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in football versus the Ravens defense this year (69.5% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.4.
Russell Wilson has racked up a lowly 0.43 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile when it comes to QBs.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The model projects the Steelers to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 42.6% run rate.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
This week, Russell Wilson is predicted by the predictive model to accumulate the 5th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.9.
Russell Wilson has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Opposing teams have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 79.0 per game) vs. the Ravens defense this year.
Russell Wilson is projected to have 13 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
