Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Jan 13, 2025
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (61.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
With an impressive rate of 2.06 per game (90th percentile), Sam Darnold rates among the leading TD passers in the NFL this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Sam Darnold is projected to have 2 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.
Sam Darnold is projected to have 3.2 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).
Sam Darnold's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a noteable improvement in his rushing ability over last year's 3.0 rate.
The Rams defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.
Sam Darnold is projected to have 14.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's CB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Sam Darnold is projected to have 22.2 Completions in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Sam Darnold has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (256.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Sam Darnold is projected to have 277.2 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Sam Darnold is projected to have 35.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's CB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.82 passes per game this year, ranking as the 10th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
