Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Stone Smartt projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers on Dec 19, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Stone Smartt to garner 6.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Stone Smartt's 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates an impressive gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 10.0 figure.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.9%) vs. tight ends this year (69.9%).
The Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs this year, conceding 5.87 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Stone Smartt is projected to have 38.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Stone Smartt to garner 6.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Stone Smartt's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, totaling 2.2 adjusted catches vs a measly 0.9 last season.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.9%) vs. tight ends this year (69.9%).
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Stone Smartt is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
