Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Will Levis projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans on Dec 15, 2024
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (58.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Titans.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.69 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Will Levis is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Will Levis is projected to have 4.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Will Levis is projected to have 18.4 Completions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
Will Levis is projected to have 30.2 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Cincinnati's defense ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year when it comes to making interceptions, averaging a measly 0.51 per game.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Will Levis is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (249.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Bengals pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.18 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Will Levis is projected to have 191.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (134 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Will Levis is projected to have 23.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
