The Calgary Flames will face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night. After ending a long losing streak with a commanding 5-1 win over the New York Rangers, the Flames aim to carry that momentum into a win in this matchup. Before this game between Canadian teams begins in the NHL, continue reading to get my Flames vs Maple Leafs prediction.
Our Flames vs Maple Leafs Pick
- Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date & Time: Tuesday, October 28, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Recent Form: The Flames snapped an eight-game losing streak with a 5-1 win over the Rangers. But the Flames have averaged just two goals per game this season and they need more consistent contributions from their attacking players. The Maple Leafs are 4-4-1, with a strong home record of 4-2-1. They got an overtime win over the Buffalo Sabres in their last game and they will try to get a second win in a row on home ice here.
- Goaltending: Dustin Wolf leads the Flames with a 3.37 GAA and .886 SV%. Toronto's Anthony Stolarz should get the start for the Leafs with a .885 SV% and 3.31 GAA this season. He will try to give the Leafs an edge in this contest.
- Key Skaters: Blake Coleman leads the Flames with five goals, while Nazem Kadri has a team-high seven points. Toronto's William Nylander leads the team with 14 points, including three goals and 11 assists. John Tavares leads the Leafs with five goals.
Best Player Props
Player | Prop |
|---|
William Nylander | Anytime Goal Scorer |
Blake Coleman | Anytime Goal Scorer |
Nazem Kadri | Over 0.5 Assists |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Calgary is 4-6 on the puckline to start the season.
- Toronto is 2-7 on the puckline to begin this year.
- The Flames are 6-3-1 toward the over when it comes to their over/unders.
- Toronto's games have gone over the total seven times in nine outings.
- This is the first of two games these teams will play against one another this season.
Flames vs Maple Leafs Model Projection
- Score Projection: Flames 2 – Maple Leafs 4
- Win Probability: Flames 35%, Maple Leafs 65%
Final Thoughts
While the Flames are coming off a much-needed victory, the Maple Leafs' offensive depth and solid goaltending give them the edge in this matchup. With the Flames' 1-4 record on the road and the Leafs' strong home track record, Toronto should cover the puckline as a favorite here. Consider betting on the Leafs to win by at least two goals, as Nylander and Tavares should help Toronto get a second straight victory in the start of a 16-game night in the NHL.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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