Inter Milan vs AS Roma Betting Odds, Pick & Prediction
Updated October 23, 2026
Updated October 23, 2026
Inter Milan entered their December 6, 2019, Serie A meeting with AS Roma as league leaders and -115 moneyline favorites. Antonio Conte's side had won five consecutive league matches and were looking to extend their narrow advantage over Juventus.
Roma arrived in strong form themselves, setting up one of the most interesting fixtures of the Serie A weekend.
ATS.io's original prediction backed Inter to win at home. However, Roma held the favorites to a scoreless draw, ending Inter's five-match winning streak and producing a losing result for the moneyline selection.
Here's a look back at the original betting odds, the reasoning behind the pick, and what happened at San Siro.
The following odds were published by ATS.io on December 5, 2019, ahead of the match.
Betting Market | Historical Odds |
|---|---|
Inter Milan moneyline | -115 |
AS Roma moneyline | +290 |
Draw | +280 |
ATS.io original pick | Inter Milan -115 |
Final result | 0-0 |
Pick outcome | Loss |
Historical odds sourced from the original ATS.io article, which attributed its prices to FanDuel Sportsbook. These are archived pre-match prices, not current betting odds.
At -115, a $115 wager on Inter would have returned $100 in profit if the home side had won.
The implied probability of an Inter victory was approximately 53.5%, before accounting for the sportsbook's margin.
Roma's +290 price reflected their underdog status, while the draw was available at +280.
The market favored Inter, but Roma's recent performances suggested this would be a competitive matchup.
Inter had made an impressive start to the 2019-20 Serie A campaign under Antonio Conte.
Through 14 league matches, the Nerazzurri had a 12-1-1 record and 37 points, putting them one point ahead of defending champions Juventus.
They also held a seven-point advantage over third-place Lazio.
Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
Serie A position | 1st |
Matches played | 14 |
Wins | 12 |
Draws | 1 |
Losses | 1 |
Points | 37 |
Goal differential | +18 |
Previous five league matches | 5 wins |
Inter's attack was led by Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martínez, whose partnership had become a central part of Conte's system.
Lukaku provided physical presence and finishing ability, while Martínez contributed movement and an aggressive approach in the final third.
Inter were also effective defensively, with Stefan de Vrij, Milan Škriniar, and Diego Godín among the key players in Conte's three-man back line.
At San Siro, Inter had gone 5-1-1 through their first seven league matches, with a +7 goal differential.
Their only home defeat had come against Juventus.
That record, combined with their five-match winning streak, provided a reasonable foundation for the original ATS.io prediction.
The concern was the price. At -115, Inter needed to win this matchup often enough to justify an implied probability above 53%.
Roma's recent form made that a more difficult proposition than the league standings alone suggested.
Roma entered the fixture in fifth place, firmly involved in the race for Champions League qualification.
Paulo Fonseca's team was level on points with fourth-place Cagliari and just two points behind Lazio.
The visitors had also been playing well.
Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
Serie A position | 5th |
Matches played | 14 |
Goal differential | +11 |
Previous five matches | 4 wins, 1 loss |
Previous ten matches | 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses |
Away record | 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss |
Roma's away performances were particularly encouraging.
They had won four of their first seven road fixtures and carried a +6 away goal differential into the game.
That suggested they were capable of competing with Inter, even at San Siro.
The visitors also had an experienced defensive unit featuring Chris Smalling, Gianluca Mancini, and Aleksandar Kolarov.
Roma's ability to control possession and defend central areas would ultimately prove important in the match.
Inter and Roma had played numerous competitive fixtures before their December 2019 meeting.
The original ATS.io preview reported 194 previous meetings across all competitions, with Inter holding an 84-54-56 advantage.
The teams had also drawn both Serie A meetings during the previous season.
Previous Meeting | Result |
|---|---|
Roma vs Inter, 2018-19 | 2-2 |
Inter vs Roma, 2018-19 | 1-1 |
Those results suggested Roma could make life difficult for Inter despite the home side's stronger league position.
The December 2019 meeting extended that run of draws.
The original prediction by Vincent Senick favored Inter Milan to win.
The reasoning centered on three factors:
Roma's strong away record presented a challenge, but the original selection favored Inter's consistency and attacking quality.
Original ATS.io selection: Inter Milan moneyline (-115)
The archived article contained a discrepancy in its final betting recommendation, where the price appeared as +115. However, its main odds listing showed Inter at -115, matching the price cited by The Inquisitr on December 5, 2019.
For that reason, -115 is the appropriate historical price to retain.
Pick result: Loss. The match finished 0-0, so an Inter moneyline wager did not cash.
Inter's winning streak ended on December 6, 2019, when Roma earned a point at San Siro.
The scoreless draw was particularly frustrating for Conte's team because Inter created several promising opportunities but failed to convert them.
7th minute: Lukaku had an early chance after a Roma defensive mistake, but goalkeeper Antonio Mirante produced an excellent save.
First half: Inter continued to create openings, with Matías Vecino and Marcelo Brozović failing to capitalize on opportunities inside the penalty area.
Second half: Mirante made another important save to deny Vecino, keeping the visitors level.
68th minute: Leonardo Spinazzola made a crucial defensive intervention as Martínez threatened to break through.
87th minute: Martínez missed a late opportunity to score from a low Vecino cross.
Roma defended effectively and maintained enough possession to disrupt Inter's attacking rhythm.
The visitors created relatively few clear chances themselves, but their defensive organization was sufficient to secure a valuable away draw.
Match Detail | Result |
|---|---|
Date | December 6, 2019 |
Competition | Serie A |
Stadium | San Siro |
Inter Milan | 0 |
AS Roma | 0 |
Halftime score | 0-0 |
Full-time result | Draw |
Inter moneyline -115 | Loss |
Draw +280 | Win |
Under 2.5 goals | Win |
Inter moved to 38 points after 15 league matches, while Roma took an important point in the Champions League qualification race.
The draw also marked Inter's first scoreless performance of the season across Serie A and the Champions League.
The pre-match case for Inter was understandable. They were league leaders, in excellent form, and playing at home.
However, three factors ultimately undermined the moneyline selection.
Fonseca's team made it difficult for Inter to create clear shooting opportunities through the middle.
Smalling and Mancini handled the physical challenge presented by Lukaku and Martínez, while Roma's midfield helped limit space between the lines.
Mirante was one of the most influential players on the pitch.
His early save against Lukaku and second-half intervention against Vecino kept Roma in the game.
Inter had enough chances to win, but Mirante's performance helped preserve the clean sheet.
Inter's strong league record made them deserved favorites, but Roma had entered the fixture with an impressive away record.
The teams had also drawn both meetings during the previous season.
At -115, backing Inter required confidence that the home side would win more than half the time.
Roma's ability to compete away from home made the draw a meaningful risk.
The match demonstrated how a strong favorite can still be vulnerable when facing an opponent capable of controlling possession and defending effectively.
This historical matchup highlights several considerations that remain relevant when evaluating Serie A betting markets.
Inter's five-match winning streak was impressive, but recent results need to be assessed alongside the opposition and available price.
A team can be the most likely winner without offering an attractive moneyline bet.
Roma's 4-2-1 away record suggested they were more competitive on the road than their underdog price might initially imply.
Home advantage matters, but strong visiting teams can reduce the favorite's margin for error.
Unlike most American sports, standard soccer moneyline betting includes three possible outcomes: home win, draw, and away win.
The draw is particularly relevant when two defensively capable teams meet.
In this match, Roma's ability to frustrate Inter was enough to produce a winning draw bet at the original +280 price.
For upcoming fixtures, the soccer matchup and odds pages provide a useful starting point for comparing markets.
Neither team won. The Serie A match ended in a 0-0 draw at San Siro.
ATS.io listed Inter Milan at -115, AS Roma at +290, and the draw at +280 ahead of the December 6, 2019, match.
Vincent Senick picked Inter Milan to win. The original odds listing priced Inter at -115.
No. The game ended 0-0, so the Inter moneyline selection lost.
Antonio Conte managed Inter Milan during the 2019-20 Serie A season.
Paulo Fonseca managed Roma at the time of the match.
Inter Milan entered this fixture with the stronger league record and a five-match winning streak, making them understandable favorites at -115.
Roma, however, arrived with excellent away form and enough defensive quality to frustrate Conte's side.
The visitors executed their approach effectively, and Mirante's goalkeeping helped secure a 0-0 draw.
For readers following today's matches, ATS.io provides ongoing soccer betting coverage, dedicated Serie A analysis, and best soccer bets today.
→ Our Take: Inter were the logical favorites, but the -115 moneyline underestimated the challenge posed by Roma's defensive organization and away form. The original pick lost, and the result reinforces an important betting principle: even a team at the top of the table can be a questionable wager when the opposition is capable of forcing a draw.
Updated October 23, 2026
