COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Bowling Green enters on a two-game winning run and has been better in conference play, while Ball State has dropped four in a row and is still searching for traction away from home. On offense, the Falcons average 15.8 points and 274.7 yards per game, with a balanced but limited attack. Ball State is a bit better offensively at 18.3 points and 308.0 yards per game, but its defense has been a major problem, allowing 39.0 points and 467.3 yards per game. Bowling Green’s defense has also had issues, yet it has been significantly more manageable than Ball State’s group and has held up better in recent games.
Bowling Green should control this game with the steadier defense and the better recent form, while Ball State’s road struggles and defensive breakdowns create a narrow but real edge for the home side. The Falcons are the better option to cover, and the projected final score is Bowling Green 31, Ball State 20.