COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Delaware enters with a 2-3 record, a 2-1 home mark, and a two-game losing streak, while Middle Tennessee is also 2-3, unbeaten at home, and has dropped its last two. Delaware has produced 21.4 points per game and allowed 25.6, while Middle Tennessee has scored 20.8 and allowed 28.0. Delaware’s yards per play number is 4.8, better than Middle Tennessee’s 4.7, and Middle Tennessee has been much shakier defensively at 6.7 yards per play allowed compared with Delaware’s 5.7, which gives the Blue Hens a small efficiency edge in a game that looks more likely to settle in the low 40s than jump well past the market number.
Delaware should have the slight edge on the field, but the best position is the under because both teams have repeatedly played below market scoring expectations and neither offense has shown enough consistency to force a faster game. The projected final score is Delaware Blue Hens 24, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20, which supports a lower-total script with Delaware winning a close game.