COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Florida International enters with a 3-3 record and a perfect home mark, while Middle Tennessee is also 3-3 but has been much shakier on defense despite a recent win. FIU’s offense has been efficient enough through the air, producing 262.7 passing yards per game and 120.0 rushing yards per game, and its defense has held opponents to 166.0 passing yards per game and 100.0 rushing yards per game. Middle Tennessee’s offense averages 22.8 points and 321.5 yards per game, but its defense has allowed 216.5 passing yards per game and 199.2 rushing yards per game, a combination that creates problems against a home team that can attack both levels.
Florida International should be the better side at home, and the projected game flow points to the Panthers doing enough on offense to separate by double digits. With FIU’s defense limiting explosive damage and Middle Tennessee’s defense showing clear vulnerability, the cleanest projection is Florida International 31, Middle Tennessee 17. That score supports the Panthers to win outright, to cover on the home side, and to clear their team scoring expectation, with the strongest value coming from FIU’s team total over.