COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Houston enters with a 5-1 record and three straight wins, driven by a high-volume offense and a defense that has kept opponents to 322.3 yards and 19.2 points per game. The Cougars also average 6.3 yards per play and have been more productive at home, where their yards-per-play number rises to 6.1. Oklahoma State arrives at 4-1 and has won four in a row, powered by 521.4 yards and 38.2 points per game, with 322.4 passing yards per game standing out as a major strength. Defensively, the Cowboys allow 21.4 points per game and have been better in yards per play allowed than Houston, but Houston’s run-pass balance and home form give the Cougars the edge in a game that projects to be competitive and relatively high scoring.
Houston should have enough balance on offense and enough stability at home to edge Oklahoma State in a game that stays in the low 60s. The Cougars’ 40.0 points per game and 19.2 points allowed per game support a narrow home win, while Oklahoma State’s explosive passing attack keeps the Cowboys live throughout. My projection is Houston 34, Oklahoma State 28, with the Cougars cashing the moneyline in a game that lands close to the market total.